Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo BertoM15 Krakow Round of 16

M15 Krakow · ITF · Round of 16
#324ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
#1408ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWLL
Michalski D.
6-1 6-4
Berto L.
Michalski D.
662
Berto L.
140

Daniel Michalski advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Krakow tournament, defeating Lorenzo Berto in the Round of 16. Michalski won the match 6-1, 6-4. He hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 71% of his break points and winning 76% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
40%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
31%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Michalski D.88%
Berto L.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Michalski D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Michalski D.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw