Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong — Cancun 2 Round of 32
Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRAALT#136ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLLLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 1st on
HKG6#93ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Muller A.vs
Wong C.
Alexandre Muller faces Coleman Wong in the Cancun 2 round of 32 on hard. Coleman Wong holds the paper edge — ranked #93.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTCMuller A.38%
Wong C.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Wong C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alexandre Muller comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Coleman Wong's 5 and 72.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alexandre Muller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 72 vs 24).
Common opponents
Last 12 months5 common opponents · Muller A. 1–4 · Wong C. 5–2
Both lost · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.5Hard Elo 1593
5.8Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1602
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
22 vs 43 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
9.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Wong C.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 39%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.