Joel Schwaerzler vs Kenta Miyoshi — Kingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
AUT3
Joel Schwaerzler
#150ATP
1577ELO
1519Hard ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 4th on
JPNQ
Kenta Miyoshi
#495ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
Schwaerzler J.
2-6 5-7
Miyoshi K.
Schwaerzler J.
250
Miyoshi K.
672

Kenta Miyoshi defeated Joel Schwaerzler in the Round of 32 of the Kingston hard-court tournament. Miyoshi won the match in straight sets, 6-2, 7-5. He advanced with the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Kenta Miyoshi closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Schwaerzler J.Miyoshi K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Schwaerzler J.60%
Miyoshi K.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Schwaerzler J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Schwaerzler J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Miyoshi K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1447
6.3Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Schwaerzler J.Miyoshi K.
Freshness·Slight edge
67
62

Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw