Carles Hernandez vs Imanol Lopez MorilloM25 Santander Round of 16

M25 Santander · ITF · Round of 16
#766ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#590ATP
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWLW
Hernandez C.
4-6 6-3 1-6
Lopez Morillo I.
Hernandez C.
4611
Lopez Morillo I.
6362

Imanol Lopez Morillo defeated Carles Hernandez 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Santander tournament on clay. Lopez Morillo hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 68% of his first serves and converting 57% of break points. He broke Hernandez's serve 4 times, compared to Hernandez's 2 breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Imanol Lopez Morillo came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-07M15+H Tauste 1R16hardCarles Hernandez6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Hernandez C.36%
Lopez Morillo I.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lopez Morillo I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
2.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw