Alexis Galarneau vs Dino PrizmicQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#183ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 4th on
#102ATP
1841ELO
1733Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Galarneau A.
6-4 6-4
Prizmic D.
Galarneau A.
662
Prizmic D.
440

Alexis Galarneau defeated Dino Prizmic in the Round of 32 of the Quebec City tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Galarneau and Prizmic served an equal number of aces, but Galarneau committed fewer double faults. Galarneau converted 60% of his break points, compared to 33% for Prizmic, and won three service breaks to Prizmic's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexis Galarneau edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18US OpenQ128hardDino Prizmic7-6(7) 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
92
Break points won·Dominant
16
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
61
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Galarneau A.20%
Prizmic D.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Prizmic D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
7.3+185 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1841
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
79

Galarneau A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Prizmic D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw