Sebastian Dominko vs T. Kovac — M25 Slovenj Gradec Round of 32

M25 Slovenj Gradec · ITF · Round of 32
SLO
Sebastian Dominko
#1118ATP
23 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
SLOQ
T. Kovac
#2255ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLLWW
Dominko S.
6-3 6-2
Kovac T.
Dominko S.
662
Kovac T.
320

Sebastian Dominko defeated T. Kovac 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Slovenj Gradec clay tournament. Dominko hit 9 aces and converted 67% of break points, while also securing 4 service breaks to Kovac's 0. Kovac managed only 1 ace and did not convert any break points during the match.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-27M25 Maribor 2R32claySebastian Dominko6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
Dominko S.Kovac T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
58%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
50%
29%
Service points won·Clear edge
65%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
46%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Dominko S.89%
Kovac T.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dominko S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dominko S.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Kovac T.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
1.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw