Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo MarquesM25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 Round of 32

M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 · ITF · Round of 32
#676ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
#1035ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Cacao T.
6-7 5-7
Marques G.
Cacao T.
6750
Marques G.
7972

Goncalo Marques defeated Tiago Cacao in the Round of 32 of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 hard court tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5. Marques hit 9 aces and 4 double faults, winning 70% of first serves and converting 50% of break points. Marques and Cacao were evenly matched in double faults at 4 each, and Marques secured 3 service breaks to Cacao's 2.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-18M15 Castelo BrancohardTiago Cacao4-6 7-6(4) 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Cacao T.69%
Marques G.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cacao T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw