Alex Rybakov vs Charles BroomRoehampton Round of 16

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#507ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#289ATP
1409ELO
1396Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLWW
Rybakov A.
5-7 3-6
Broom C.
Rybakov A.
530
Broom C.
762

Charles Broom defeated Alex Rybakov 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at Roehampton. Broom did not hit an ace but made four double faults, while Rybakov hit four aces and one double fault. Broom converted 30% of break points and won three service breaks to Rybakov's zero.

Key context

  • Match story: Charles Broom closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
15
12
Break points saved·Dominant
84
56
Break points won·Slight edge
5
0
Deciding sets·Clear edge
18
42
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
5
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Rybakov A.21%
Broom C.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broom C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1310
Surface ELO
6.1+86 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1409
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
91

Rybakov A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Broom C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw