Moerani Bouzige vs Shunsuke MitsuiM25 Taipei Round of 32

M25 Taipei · ITF · Round of 32
#458ATP
1211ELO
1180Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
#648ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWW
Bouzige M.
vs
Mitsui S.

Moerani Bouzige faces Shunsuke Mitsui in the M25 Taipei round of 32 on hard. Moerani Bouzige is the paper favourite — ranked #458 — but Shunsuke Mitsui arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Moerani Bouzige's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bouzige M.29%
Mitsui S.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mitsui S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Shunsuke Mitsui carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Moerani Bouzige 6 of 10, Shunsuke Mitsui 8 of 10 on hard recently — Shunsuke Mitsui the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.22 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzige M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mitsui S.

Mitsui S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bouzige M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mitsui S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw