Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alastair GrayRoehampton Round of 16

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#441ATP
1370ELO
1345Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#270ATP
1390ELO
1370Hard ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWLLL
Adrian Boitan G.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Gray A.
Adrian Boitan G.
4662
Gray A.
6321

Gabi Adrian Boitan defeated Alastair Gray in the Round of 16 at the Roehampton hard-court tournament. Boitan won the match 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. He hit 8 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 30% of break points and securing 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Adrian Boitan G.27%
Gray A.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gray A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1345
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1370
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
82

Adrian Boitan G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Gray A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw