Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Oliver TarvetRoehampton Round of 16

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#281ATP
1412ELO
1270Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#380ATP
1490ELO
1460Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
2-6 7-5 4-6
Tarvet O.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
2741
Tarvet O.
6562

Oliver Tarvet advanced to the quarterfinals at Roehampton, defeating Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in a three-set match. Tarvet won 6-2, 5-7, 6-4, with key contributions including 10 aces and 80% of points won on his first serve. Tarvet converted 50% of his break points, securing four service breaks to Pucinelli De Almeida's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Oliver Tarvet closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
63%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Service points won·Clear edge
58%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
78%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.28%
Tarvet O.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tarvet O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1270
Surface ELO
7.4+190 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1490
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.52 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
7.2Won 87% in United Kingdom (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
88

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Tarvet O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw