Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele MellerioM25 Lesa Q16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Q16
#1175ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
Gabriele Mellerio
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
6-3 6-3
Mellerio G.
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
662
Mellerio G.
330

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini defeated Gabriele Mellerio 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini hit 13 double faults and did not record an ace, while Gabriele Mellerio had one ace and one double fault. Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini won 91% of first-serve points, converted 40% of break points, and broke serve four times, compared to Gabriele Mellerio's 56% first-serve win percentage, 10% break point conversion rate, and one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
62%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
32%
Service points won·
54%
Return points won·
42%
Break points saved·
47%
Aces / match·
0.8
Double faults / match·
12.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.79%
Mellerio G.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mellerio G.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw