L. Rivera vs Mykyta MashtakovM15 Mistelbach Round of 32

M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Round of 32
#1066ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
#663ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
Rivera L.
4-6 7-5 6-7
Mashtakov M.
Rivera L.
4761
Mashtakov M.
6572

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated L. Rivera in the Round of 32 at the M15 Mistelbach tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 in favor of Mashtakov. Both players converted 7 service breaks, but Mashtakov had fewer double faults, 5 to 9, and a slightly higher first-serve win percentage, 59 to 57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
49%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Rivera L.30%
Mashtakov M.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mashtakov M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Mashtakov M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw