Eric Ahren Moonga vs O. Jansson — M15 Bastad Q16

M15 Bastad · ITF · Q16
SWE
Eric Ahren Moonga
#2011ATP
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
SWE
O. Jansson
#2284ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWLW
Ahren Moonga E.
6-1 6-4
Jansson O.
Ahren Moonga E.
662
Jansson O.
140

O. Jansson defeated Eric Ahren Moonga 6-1, 6-4 in the qualifying round 1 of the M15 Bastad tournament. Jansson served 3 aces and committed 1 double fault, while converting 67% of break points and winning 70% of first-serve points. He won 4 service breaks to Moonga's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: O. Jansson closed it out in two sets, 1–6 4–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ahren Moonga E.Jansson O.
1st serve in·
—
65%
1st serve points won·
—
58%
2nd serve points won·
—
38%
Service points won·
—
51%
Return points won·
—
48%
Break points saved·
—
48%
Aces / match·
—
1.5
Double faults / match·
—
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ahren Moonga E.38%
Jansson O.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jansson O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ahren Moonga E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Jansson O.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw