Joao Fonseca vs C. O'Connell — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 32
Joao Fonseca
BRA23
Joao Fonseca
#26ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWW
—
Sets
Walkover
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
C. O'Connell
AUSQ
C. O'Connell
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
Fonseca J.
vs
O'Connell C.

Chris O'Connell advanced to the next round in Cincinnati with a walkover against Joao Fonseca in the Round of 32. Fonseca withdrew before the match, handing O'Connell the win without a contest.

Around the match

  • Withdrew ahead of third round with abdominal injury, raising uncertainty over US Open availability.

    Fonseca J.Perfect Tennis ↗

  • “It's nice to see that the new generation is playing some good tennis. All of them are nice guys. Guys that are humble and work hard.”

    Fonseca J.Cincinnati Open ↗

  • O'Connell in strong form at Cincinnati with four consecutive wins, though his second-round victory over Ruud came via retirement rather than a complete match.

    O'Connell C.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Fonseca J.O'Connell C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
8.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Fonseca J.O'Connell C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
25
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Clear edge
24
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
5
Tiebreaks·Even
90
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Fonseca J.81%
O'Connell C.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fonseca J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fonseca J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
O'Connell C.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fonseca J.O'Connell C.
Freshness·Slight edge
83
75

Fonseca J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · O'Connell C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw