Dusan Lajovic vs Taro DanielQuebec City Q8

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q8
#146ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 2nd on
#186ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWW
Lajovic D.
6-7 6-2 1-6
Daniel T.
Lajovic D.
64611
Daniel T.
77262

Taro Daniel defeated Dusan Lajovic 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 in the Quebec City qualifying eighthfinals. Daniel and Lajovic each converted 50% of break points and secured three service breaks apiece. Daniel hit two aces and four double faults, while Lajovic had 14 aces and zero double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-18BelgradeR32hardTaro Daniel2-6 6-1 7-6
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR128hardDusan Lajovic7-6 6-4
2017-10-09Shanghai MastersQ1hardDusan Lajovic6-1 6-7 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
20
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
77
Break points won·Clear edge
18
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
8
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Lajovic D.52%
Daniel T.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1512
5.7Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1567
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
47
69

Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw