S. D'Agostino vs Manuel Mazza — M25 Lesa Round of 32
M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
D'Agostino S.6-3 4-6 3-6
Mazza M.
D'Agostino S.
6431
Mazza M.
3662
Manuel Mazza defeated S. D'Agostino in the Round of 32 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Mazza.
Key context
- Match story: Manuel Mazza dropped the opening set before beating S. D'Agostino 3–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-25 | M15 Segrate 1 | QF | clay | Manuel Mazza | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-06-18 | M25 Cattolica 1 | R32 | clay | S. D'Agostino | 6-2 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
75%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCD'Agostino S.31%
Mazza M.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Mazza M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H5.2Split 1–1 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
94
—
D'Agostino S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 34%