Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert GombosPrague Round of 32

Prague · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#424ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Arnaud Bailly G.
6-4 1-6 4-6
Gombos N.
Arnaud Bailly G.
6141
Gombos N.
4662

Norbert Gombos defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Round of 32 of the Prague tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-1, 6-4. Gombos served eight aces to Bailly's two and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Bailly's 40%. Gombos won six service breaks to Bailly's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Arnaud Bailly G.58%
Gombos N.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1438
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1472
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
52

Arnaud Bailly G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Gombos N.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw