Soon Woo Kwon vs Keegan SmithQuebec City Q16

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q16
#152ATP
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE COURT CROMWELL · 1st on
#198ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Woo Kwon S.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Smith K.
Woo Kwon S.
4662
Smith K.
6331

Soon Woo Kwon defeated Keegan Smith 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 in the Quebec City quarterfinals. Kwon converted 50% of his break points, while Smith converted 14%. Kwon won the match despite having fewer aces (7 to 11) and a lower first-serve win percentage (77% to 82%) than Smith.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Even
70%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
26
Break points saved·Even
86
84
Break points won·Clear edge
15
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.83%
Smith K.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Woo Kwon S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+321 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1395
9.0Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
81

Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Smith K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw