Sorana Cirstea vs Anna KalinskayaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#19WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
1 — 1
Sets
Retired
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 2nd on
#21WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL
Cirstea S.
6-7 6-1 5-0
Kalinskaya A.
Cirstea S.
64651
Kalinskaya A.
77101

Sorana Cirstea advanced in the Cincinnati Round of 32 when Anna Kalinskaya retired during their match. At the time of Kalinskaya's retirement, Cirstea led 6-7, 6-1, 5-0. Cirstea hit 9 aces and converted 58 percent of her break points in the match.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardSorana Cirstea6-3 6-4
2022-03-07Indian WellsR32hardSorana Cirstea5-7 6-1 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
33
38
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Cirstea S.54%
Kalinskaya A.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1863
5.6Overall Elo 1956
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1907
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
76

Cirstea S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw