C. O'Connell vs Casper RuudCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 7 · 1st on
#17ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWW
O'Connell C.
7-5 1-2
Ruud C.
O'Connell C.
711
Ruud C.
520

Chris O'Connell advanced to the next round of the Cincinnati tournament with a win over Casper Ruud in the Round of 64. Ruud retired during the match, trailing 7-5, 1-2. O'Connell earned the victory as a result of Ruud's withdrawal.

Around the match

  • Ruud has been struggling for form and fitness since the French Open with no success at ATP Cincinnati since 2021, facing an upset threat against O'Connell.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
25
88
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
3
74
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
O'Connell C.19%
Ruud C.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ruud C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
90

O'Connell C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw