Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington JonesBrownsburg Semi-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 2nd on
#177ATP
1557ELO
1547Hard ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLWLL
Ilagan A.
6-2 6-4
Pinnington Jones J.
Ilagan A.
662
Pinnington Jones J.
240

Andre Ilagan advanced to the Brownsburg semifinals with a 6-2, 6-4 win over Jack Pinnington Jones. Ilagan hit 9 aces to Pinnington Jones' 6 and converted 38% of break points, compared to Pinnington Jones' 0%. Ilagan won 77% of first-serve points to Pinnington Jones' 61%, and secured 3 service breaks to Pinnington Jones' 0, with both players committing 1 double fault.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
89
Break points won·Dominant
17
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Ilagan A.51%
Pinnington Jones J.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1518
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1557
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.7Won 62% in Usa (53)
Country comfort
5.9Won 65% in Usa (20)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
56
67

Ilagan A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Pinnington Jones J.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw