Matej Dodig vs Marvin MoellerHamburg Semi-final

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Dodig M.
2-6 4-6
Moeller M.
Dodig M.
240
Moeller M.
662

Marvin Moeller advanced to the Hamburg semifinals with a 6-2, 6-4 win over Matej Dodig. The match was played on clay. Moeller moved on to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-08M15 Sofia 1SFclayMarvin Moeller6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
48
Break points saved·Dominant
76
43
Break points won·Dominant
3
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
73
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Dodig M.57%
Moeller M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1383
5.8Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1396
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
81
52

Dodig M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 126 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw