Xiyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel — Cincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
Xiyu Wang
CHN
Xiyu Wang
#82WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
BELQ
Hanne Vandewinkel
#77WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Wang X.
6-4 6-3
Vandewinkel H.
Wang X.
662
Vandewinkel H.
430

Xiyu Wang defeated Hanne Vandewinkel in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Wang.

Key context

  • Match story: Xiyu Wang closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-15BJK Cup PlayoffsRRhardXiyu Wang6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
Wang X.Vandewinkel H.
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
44%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wang X.Vandewinkel H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
78
Break points saved·Dominant
40
70
Break points won·Dominant
33
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
93
Tiebreaks·
4
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Wang X.62%
Vandewinkel H.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Wang X. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wang X.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Vandewinkel H.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1724
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1690
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wang X.Vandewinkel H.
Freshness·Dominant
74
100

Wang X.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Vandewinkel H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw