Lan Mi vs Lourdes AyalaW15 Campos Do Jordao Quarter-final

W15 Campos Do Jordao · ITF · Quarter-final
CHN1
#481WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#1039WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
Mi L.
6-0 6-4
Ayala L.
Mi L.
662
Ayala L.
040

Lan Mi defeated Lourdes Ayala 6-0, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the W15 Campos Do Jordao. Lan Mi hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, winning 59% of her first serves and converting 55% of break points. Lourdes Ayala hit 1 ace and 6 double faults, winning 48% of her first serves and converting 100% of break points; she had 2 service breaks to Lan Mi's 6.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-17W15 Huamantla 2R16hardLan Mi4-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
86%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
52%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Return points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mi L.78%
Ayala L.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mi L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw