Coleman Wong vs Otto VirtanenCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · ATP · Q32
#93ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#116ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWLL
Wong C.
7-6 7-6
Virtanen O.
Wong C.
77772
Virtanen O.
64620

Coleman Wong defeated Otto Virtanen 7-6, 7-6 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match saw Wong record 9 aces and 6 double faults, while Virtanen had 13 aces and 5 double faults. Both players converted 2 service breaks, with Wong winning 71% of his first-serve points and Virtanen at 85%.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-07Davis Cup WG1 PO: HKG vs FINRRhardOtto Virtanen7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Even
9.7
9.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
11
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
82
Break points won·Slight edge
11
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Wong C.43%
Virtanen O.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1593
Surface ELO
6.0+82 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1706
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
90

Wong C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw