Sergey Fomin vs Kasidit SamrejAstana Round of 16

Astana · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#308ATP
1422ELO
1370Hard ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#412ATP
1285ELO
1260Hard ELO
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Fomin S.
6-1 6-4
Samrej K.
Fomin S.
662
Samrej K.
140

Sergey Fomin defeated Kasidit Samrej 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Astana tournament. Fomin hit 8 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Samrej had no aces and 8 double faults. Fomin won 81% of his first-serve points and converted 20% of his break points, taking 3 service breaks to Samrej's none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Fomin S.61%
Samrej K.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fomin S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1260
6.7Overall Elo 1422
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1285
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
92

Fomin S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Samrej K.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw