Rafael Tosetto vs Maxwell Exsted — M15 Asuncion Quarter-final
M15 Asuncion · ITF · Quarter-final
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
Tosetto R.3-6 6-3 6-4
Exsted M.
Tosetto R.
3662
Exsted M.
6341
Rafael Tosetto advanced to the semifinals of the M15 Asuncion quarterfinals by defeating Maxwell Exsted. The match went the full three sets, with Tosetto ultimately prevailing 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Tosetto converted 57% of his break points and won four service breaks to Exsted's three.
Key context
- Match story: Rafael Tosetto dropped the opening set before beating Maxwell Exsted 3–6 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
62%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCTosetto R.46%
Exsted M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 71%