Matej Dodig vs Rudolf Molleker — Hamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
CRO
Matej Dodig
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Rudolf Molleker
GERWC
Rudolf Molleker
#481ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLL
Dodig M.
6-4 6-3
Molleker R.
Dodig M.
662
Molleker R.
430

Matej Dodig advanced to the quarterfinals at the Hamburg tournament, defeating Rudolf Molleker in the Round of 16. Dodig won the match in straight sets, 6-4, 6-3.

Key context

  • Match story: Matej Dodig closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Dodig M.Molleker R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dodig M.Molleker R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
10
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
69
Break points won·Slight edge
3
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Dodig M.61%
Molleker R.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dodig M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dodig M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Molleker R.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+48 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1382
5.9Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dodig M.Molleker R.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
62

Dodig M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d) · Molleker R.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw