Tiago Cacao vs Philip HenningM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 16

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 16
#676ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#299ATP
1461ELO
1485Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Cacao T.
3-6 4-6
Henning P.
Cacao T.
340
Henning P.
662

Philip Henning defeated Tiago Cacao 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament. Henning hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 81% of his first serves and converting 43% of break points. He secured 3 service breaks to Cacao's 1, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Cacao T.15%
Henning P.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Henning P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Henning P.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw