Luca Pow vs Ozan Baris — M25 East Lansing Round of 16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 16
GBR
Luca Pow
#972ATP
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWLLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
USA3
Ozan Baris
#486ATP
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWWW
Pow L.
vs
Baris O.

Luca Pow faces Ozan Baris in the M25 East Lansing round of 16 on hard. Ozan Baris holds the paper edge — ranked #486.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Pow L.15%
Baris O.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Baris O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Luca Pow 5 of 10, Ozan Baris 8 of 10 on hard recently — Ozan Baris the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Ozan Baris carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pow L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Baris O.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.71 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (79)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 matches

Statistics

This season
Pow L.Baris O.
1st serve in·
58%
—
1st serve points won·
75%
—
2nd serve points won·
41%
—
Service points won·
61%
—
Return points won·
38%
—
Break points saved·
45%
—
Aces / match·
2.0
—
Double faults / match·
6.5
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Pow L.Baris O.
Freshness·
—
92

Baris O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 89%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw