Andrea Bacaloni vs Oskari PaldaniusM15 Turku Quarter-final

M15 Turku · ITF · Quarter-final
#1450ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#1052ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
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Bacaloni A.
4-6 0-6
Paldanius O.
Bacaloni A.
400
Paldanius O.
662

Oskari Paldanius defeated Andrea Bacaloni in the quarterfinals of the M15 Turku tournament, winning 6-4, 6-0 on hard courts. Paldanius hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Bacaloni had 3 double faults. Paldanius converted 71% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Bacaloni's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Bacaloni A.54%
Paldanius O.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Paldanius O.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw