Louis Wessels vs Niklas WaldnerM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#523ATP
27 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#1369ATP
24 yrs
Last 10
LLWLLWLLWW
Wessels L.
vs
Waldner N.

Louis Wessels faces Niklas Waldner in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Louis Wessels holds the paper edge — ranked #523, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Wessels L.73%
Waldner N.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wessels L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Niklas Waldner carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Louis Wessels 7 of 10, Niklas Waldner 4 of 10 on clay recently — Louis Wessels the sharper of late.
  • Head-to-head: Louis Wessels leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Klosters 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wessels L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Waldner N.

Waldner N.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Wessels L.

Serve advantage — Wessels L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Wessels L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17M25 KlostersR32clayLouis Wessels6-4 7-6(3)

Draw