Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Petr NesterovM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#556ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#364ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Sakellaridis D.
vs
Nesterov P.

Dimitris Sakellaridis faces Petr Nesterov in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Petr Nesterov holds the paper edge — ranked #364.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Sakellaridis D.22%
Nesterov P.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nesterov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakellaridis D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Nesterov P.

Nesterov P.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Sakellaridis D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
67

Sakellaridis D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Nesterov P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw