Marko Mesarovic vs Oliver Okonkwo — M25 East Lansing Round of 32

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 32
USA
Marko Mesarovic
#1287ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLLLWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
GBR
Oliver Okonkwo
#963ATP
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWWL
Mesarovic M.
vs
Okonkwo O.

Marko Mesarovic faces Oliver Okonkwo in the M25 East Lansing round of 32 on hard. Oliver Okonkwo is the paper favourite — ranked #963 — but Marko Mesarovic arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Oliver Okonkwo's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mesarovic M.50%
Okonkwo O.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Marko Mesarovic 2 of 4, Oliver Okonkwo 1 of 4 on hard recently — Marko Mesarovic the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Marko Mesarovic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mesarovic M.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Okonkwo O.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.32 of last 8 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7Won 62% in Usa (39)
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in Usa (50)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 matches

Statistics

This season
Mesarovic M.Okonkwo O.
1st serve in·
—
71%
1st serve points won·
—
66%
2nd serve points won·
—
65%
Service points won·
—
66%
Return points won·
—
21%
Break points saved·
—
71%
Aces / match·
—
9.0
Double faults / match·
—
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw