James Mccabe vs Noah Zamora — M25 East Lansing Round of 32

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 32
AUS1
James Mccabe
#239ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLLWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
Noah Zamora
#783ATP
23 yrs
Last 10
LWLLWWWWLW
Mccabe J.
vs
Zamora N.

James Mccabe faces Noah Zamora in the M25 East Lansing round of 32 on hard. James Mccabe is the paper favourite — ranked #239 — but Noah Zamora arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on hard to James Mccabe's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mccabe J.85%
Zamora N.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mccabe J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: James Mccabe 1 of 5, Noah Zamora 2 of 5 on hard recently — Noah Zamora the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: James Mccabe carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mccabe J.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Zamora N.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (71)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Mccabe J.Zamora N.
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
49%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mccabe J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zamora N.

Zamora N.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Mccabe J.Zamora N.
Freshness·
92
—

Mccabe J.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw