Xinxin Yao vs Rasheeda Mcadoo — W50 Hamburg Round of 32

W50 Hamburg · ITF · Round of 32

CHN8

Xinxin Yao

#284WTA

1450ELO

1308Clay ELO

22 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

LLWLWLWWLW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 12 August 2026 · 12:00

clay

USA

Rasheeda Mcadoo

#530WTA

1281ELO

1220Clay ELO

31 yrs

Last 10

WWLLLLWLWL

Yao X.

Mcadoo R.

Xinxin Yao faces Rasheeda Mcadoo in the W50 Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Xinxin Yao holds the paper edge — ranked #284, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Yao X.52%

Mcadoo R.48%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Rasheeda Mcadoo dropped the opening set before beating Mayuka Aikawa 6–7 6–3 6–3.
Win streak: Xinxin Yao arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Fatigue load: Rasheeda Mcadoo carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Yao X.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Mcadoo R.

3.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.1+88 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Clay Elo 1220

7.1Overall Elo 1450

ELO gap

2.9Overall Elo 1281

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.23 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.15 of last 10 on clay

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

48 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season

Yao X.Mcadoo R.

1st serve in·Slight edge

67%

58%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

59%

65%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

48%

42%

Service points won·Even

55%

Return points won·Even

47%

44%

Break points saved·Even

54%

50%

Aces / match·Clear edge

0.8

2.8

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.8

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Yao X.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Mcadoo R.

Mcadoo R.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Yao X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°COvercast

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.