M. Reyniak vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque — M25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 32

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 32
USA
M. Reyniak
#1270ATP
56 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
ESP
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
#722ATP
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWWLL
Reyniak M.
vs
Izquierdo Luque R.

M. Reyniak faces Rafael Izquierdo Luque in the M25 Idanha-A-Nova round of 32 on hard. Rafael Izquierdo Luque holds the paper edge — ranked #722. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Reyniak M.24%
Izquierdo Luque R.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Izquierdo Luque R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Rafael Izquierdo Luque rising, M. Reyniak cooling.
  • Fatigue load: M. Reyniak carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Reyniak M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Izquierdo Luque R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 matches

Statistics

This season
Reyniak M.Izquierdo Luque R.
1st serve in·
—
69%
1st serve points won·
—
57%
2nd serve points won·
—
50%
Service points won·
—
55%
Return points won·
—
35%
Break points saved·
—
65%
Aces / match·
—
1.4
Double faults / match·
—
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
36°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 19%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw