Alba Rey Garcia vs Jasmijn Gimbrere

W50 Hamburg · ITF · Round of 32

ESP

Alba Rey Garcia

#631WTA

1141ELO

1146Clay ELO

24 yrs

Last 10

WLLLWLLWWL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 12 August 2026 · 10:30

clay

NED

Jasmijn Gimbrere

#488WTA

1241ELO

1232Clay ELO

25 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWLWWLWL

Rey Garcia A.

Gimbrere J.

Alba Rey Garcia faces Jasmijn Gimbrere in the W50 Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Jasmijn Gimbrere is the paper favourite — ranked #488, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Alba Rey Garcia arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay to Jasmijn Gimbrere's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Rey Garcia A.43%

Gimbrere J.57%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Alba Rey Garcia dropped just 5 games past Carolin Raschdorf.
Surface form: Alba Rey Garcia 2 of 4, Jasmijn Gimbrere 1 of 4 on clay recently — Alba Rey Garcia the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Rey Garcia A.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Gimbrere J.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.9Clay Elo 1146

Surface ELO

6.1+86 Clay Elo edge

3.7Overall Elo 1140

ELO gap

6.3Overall Elo 1241

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.25 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.75 of last 10 on clay

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Rey Garcia A.Gimbrere J.

1st serve in·Slight edge

70%

59%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

56%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

46%

Service points won·Even

53%

56%

Return points won·Even

45%

48%

Break points saved·Even

53%

Aces / match·Clear edge

0.2

1.8

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.7

4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Rey Garcia A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Gimbrere J.

Gimbrere J.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Rey Garcia A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Alba Rey Garcia vs Jasmijn Gimbrere — W50 Hamburg Round of 32