Martin Damm vs Stefanos SakellaridisCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#94ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#157ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWL
Damm M.
4-6 6-7
Sakellaridis S.
Damm M.
460
Sakellaridis S.
672

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Martin Damm 6-4, 7-6 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Sakellaridis hit 10 aces to Damm's 9 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Damm's 12%. Sakellaridis won two service breaks to Damm's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.6
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
46
Break points saved·Dominant
93
63
Break points won·Slight edge
1
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Damm M.70%
Sakellaridis S.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Damm M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1566
5.9Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1630
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 63% in Usa (46)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
70

Damm M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Sakellaridis S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw