Kei Nishikori vs Francisco ComesanaCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#479ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#109ATP
1695ELO
1642Hard ELO
$583kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLW
Nishikori K.
6-4 1-6 7-5
Comesana F.
Nishikori K.
6172
Comesana F.
4651

Kei Nishikori defeated Francisco Comesana in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 in favor of Nishikori. Both players secured four service breaks each, with Nishikori converting 36% of break points and Comesana converting 67%.

Key context

  • Match story: Kei Nishikori closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
7
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
83
Break points won·Dominant
81
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nishikori K.56%
Comesana F.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1642
5.2Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
91

Nishikori K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Comesana F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw