Deborah Chiesa vs Anastasia Zolotareva

W50 Hamburg · ITF · Round of 32

ITA

Deborah Chiesa

#329WTA

1449ELO

1460Clay ELO

30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWWWWWW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 12 August 2026 · 13:30

clay

RUS7

Anastasia Zolotareva

#266WTA

1475ELO

1469Clay ELO

24 yrs

Last 10

LWWWWWLWLW

Chiesa D.

Zolotareva A.

Deborah Chiesa faces Anastasia Zolotareva in the W50 Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Anastasia Zolotareva holds the paper edge — ranked #266. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Chiesa D.46%

Zolotareva A.54%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Win streak: Anastasia Zolotareva arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Surface form: Deborah Chiesa 6 of 10, Anastasia Zolotareva 7 of 10 on clay recently — Anastasia Zolotareva the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Chiesa D.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Zolotareva A.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.9Clay Elo 1460

Surface ELO

5.1+9 Clay Elo edge

4.7Overall Elo 1449

ELO gap

5.3Overall Elo 1475

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.96 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.87 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

9.06-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season

Chiesa D.Zolotareva A.

1st serve in·Even

62%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

61%

60%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

51%

43%

Service points won·Even

57%

54%

Return points won·Even

48%

49%

Break points saved·Slight edge

60%

55%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.1

1.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.8

3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Chiesa D.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Zolotareva A.

Zolotareva A.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Chiesa D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Chiesa D.Zolotareva A.

Freshness·

100

—

Chiesa D.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

19°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Deborah Chiesa vs Anastasia Zolotareva — W50 Hamburg Round of 32