Andrin Casanova vs Patrick ZahrajM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#1568ATP
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#408ATP
1331ELO
1259Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLLL
Casanova A.
vs
Zahraj P.

Andrin Casanova faces Patrick Zahraj in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Patrick Zahraj holds the paper edge — ranked #408.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Casanova A.21%
Zahraj P.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zahraj P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Andrin Casanova 3 of 6, Patrick Zahraj 4 of 6 on clay recently — Patrick Zahraj the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Patrick Zahraj carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.11 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Casanova A.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Zahraj P.

Zahraj P.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Casanova A.

Serve advantage — Casanova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw