Maria Berlanga Bandera vs Matilde Jorge — W35 Vigo Round of 32

W35 Vigo · ITF · Round of 32
ESP
Maria Berlanga Bandera
#1343WTA
23 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
POR6
Matilde Jorge
#277WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWWW
Berlanga Bandera M.
vs
Jorge M.

Maria Berlanga Bandera faces Matilde Jorge in the W35 Vigo round of 32 on hard. Matilde Jorge is the paper favourite — ranked #277 — but Maria Berlanga Bandera arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Matilde Jorge's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Berlanga Bandera M.16%
Jorge M.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jorge M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Berlanga Bandera M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jorge M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.85 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
Berlanga Bandera M.Jorge M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Berlanga Bandera M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Jorge M.

Jorge M.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Berlanga Bandera M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Berlanga Bandera M.Jorge M.
Freshness·
47
—

Berlanga Bandera M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw