Naiktha Bains vs Emily Appleton — W35 Aldershot 2 R16

W35 Aldershot 2 · ITF · Round of 16

GBR7

Naiktha Bains

#386WTA

1354ELO

1349Hard ELO

28 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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—

Sets

Wednesday, 12 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

GBR

Emily Appleton

#519WTA

1278ELO

1230Hard ELO

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWLWLWW

Bains N.

Appleton E.

Naiktha Bains faces Emily Appleton in the W35 Aldershot 2 round of 16 on hard. Naiktha Bains holds the paper edge — ranked #386, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Bains N.58%

Appleton E.42%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bains N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Emily Appleton dropped just 5 games past Ankita Raina.
Last match: Naiktha Bains edged Lina Glushko in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
Fatigue load: Naiktha Bains carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bains N.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Appleton E.

3.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.5+120 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.5Hard Elo 1230

5.9Overall Elo 1354

ELO gap

4.1Overall Elo 1278

8.2Leads 3–0 on hard

H2H

1.8Trails 0–3 on hard

5.76 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.58 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season

Bains N.Appleton E.

1st serve in·Even

62%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

66%

68%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

50%

45%

Service points won·Even

60%

59%

Return points won·Even

45%

42%

Break points saved·Even

59%

57%

Aces / match·Dominant

2.2

5.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.9

5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Bains N.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Appleton E.

Appleton E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bains N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CClear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-05-10	W35 Nottingham 2	SF	hard	Naiktha Bains	6-3 4-6 6-1

Naiktha Bains vs Emily Appleton — W35 Aldershot 2 Round of 16