Kerem Yilmaz vs Vesa AhtiM15 Turku Round of 32

M15 Turku · ITF · Round of 32
#916ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#2255ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
Yilmaz K.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Ahti V.
Yilmaz K.
4651
Ahti V.
6372

Vesa Ahti defeated Kerem Yilmaz in the Round of 32 at the M15 Turku tournament, winning 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Ahti served 10 aces to Yilmaz's 1 and converted 6 service breaks to Yilmaz's 5. Ahti and Yilmaz were even in first-serve win percentage at 60%, and in break points converted percentage, 50% to 62%, respectively.

Key context

  • Match story: Vesa Ahti closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
54%
1st serve points won·
73%
2nd serve points won·
32%
Service points won·
54%
Return points won·
33%
Break points saved·
40%
Aces / match·
0.0
Double faults / match·
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Yilmaz K.60%
Ahti V.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yilmaz K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Yilmaz K.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw