Colson Wells vs Jelani Sarr — M25 East Lansing Q16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Q16
USA
Colson Wells
21 yrs
Last 10
WLLLLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
Jelani Sarr
22 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWLWLW
Wells C.
vs
Sarr J.

Colson Wells faces Jelani Sarr in the M25 East Lansing q16 on hard. Jelani Sarr brings the better recent hard form (3 of 6).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Wells C.24%
Sarr J.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sarr J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Colson Wells 2 of 6, Jelani Sarr 3 of 6 on hard recently — Jelani Sarr the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Jelani Sarr carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wells C.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Sarr J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (24)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 matches

Statistics

Recent form
Wells C.Sarr J.
1st serve in·
—
65%
1st serve points won·
—
70%
2nd serve points won·
—
52%
Service points won·
—
64%
Return points won·
—
38%
Break points saved·
—
66%
Aces / match·
—
7.8
Double faults / match·
—
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw