Spencer Papa vs Alexander Okonkwo — M25 East Lansing Q16
M25 East Lansing · ITF · Q16
USASpencer Papa
30 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
GBRAlexander Okonkwo
21 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLLLWWW
Papa S.vs
Okonkwo A.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCPapa S.83%
Okonkwo A.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Papa S. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchPapa S.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedOkonkwo A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
14 vs 7 matches
Statistics
Recent formPapa S.Okonkwo A.
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
Recent formPapa S.serving71% hold
wins 59% of points on serve vs Okonkwo A.
Okonkwo A.serving85% hold
wins 66% of points on serve vs Papa S.
Serve advantage — Okonkwo A.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 64%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.