Lavinia Luciano vs N. McKenzie — W15 Bucharest 3 Q16

W15 Bucharest 3 · ITF · Q16
ITA
Lavinia Luciano
#940WTA
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
AUS
N. McKenzie
#1288WTA
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Luciano L.
6-2 6-1
McKenzie N.
Luciano L.
662
McKenzie N.
210

Lavinia Luciano defeated N. McKenzie 6-2, 6-1 in the qualifying round 1 of the W15 Bucharest 3 tournament. Luciano hit 0 aces and 4 double faults, while her first-serve win percentage was 80. She converted 75 percent of her break points and won 6 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Luciano L.McKenzie N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
53%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
43%
45%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Luciano L.66%
McKenzie N.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Luciano L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Luciano L.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
McKenzie N.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.32 of last 6 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
34°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw