Kirill Kivattsev vs Oleksandr OvcharenkoM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#572ATP
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#613ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWW
Kivattsev K.
vs
Ovcharenko O.

Kirill Kivattsev faces Oleksandr Ovcharenko in the M25 Muttenz round of 32 on clay. Kirill Kivattsev is the paper favourite — ranked #572 — but Oleksandr Ovcharenko arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Kirill Kivattsev's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Kivattsev K.39%
Ovcharenko O.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ovcharenko O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kivattsev K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ovcharenko O.

Ovcharenko O.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kivattsev K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw